Modeling the Infection Behavior of Epidemics using Water Drainage Based Spreading

  • Sanjay Kumar, Muskan Saini, Nipun Aggarwal, Muskan Goel

Abstract

A pandemic is a prevalent disease that crosses borders and affects the population over a wide area. Pandemics across human history have led to crises that have caused harmful impacts on human health and national economies. Modeling Pandemics is an important research area that can help nations, and health care personnel to be actively prepared to mitigate in stressful times. Epidemics have been traditionally modeled through prevalent mathematical models like SI, SEI, SIS and other models. Certain nature-inspired models based on natural events like water-ripple and wildfire have also been proposed. In this paper, we propose a Water-Drainage (WD) model for modeling pandemics. Our model considers people in society as water tanks which can be Empty, Water and Dry connected by pipes or edges. The proposed model has a close resemblance to real-life epidemic spreading. Our results for COVID-19, Ebola Virus and SARS epidemics show close correspondence to the proposed WD Model.

Published
2020-06-06
How to Cite
Sanjay Kumar, Muskan Saini, Nipun Aggarwal, Muskan Goel. (2020). Modeling the Infection Behavior of Epidemics using Water Drainage Based Spreading. International Journal of Advanced Science and Technology, 29(04), 9167 -. Retrieved from http://sersc.org/journals/index.php/IJAST/article/view/30701